Usòrò:Climate change mitigation scenarios (IIASA). Global mean temperature - 2000-2100.png

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Nkówá
English: This graph shows projected changes in global mean temperature between the years 2000 and 2100 for a range of climate change mitigation scenarios. Temperatures are measured in degrees celsius, and are relative to pre-industrial levels.

Projections for 5 scenarios are shown. Each scenario is designed to stabilize atmospheric GHG concentrations at a different level: 450, 520, 670, 970 and 1390 ppmv. A summary table of the graph data is given in a later section.

References

Scenario data can be freely downloaded from:

These are the "A2r" mitigation scenarios. The projections assume a climate sensitivity of 3.0 °C.
Ǹgụ́ụ̀bọ̀chị̀
Mkpọlọ́gwụ̀ Orü ọnwé
Odé ákwụ́kwọ́ Enescot

Data

Changes in global mean temperature for the scenarios: 2000 to 2100:

Scenario 2000 2030 2050 2100
450 ppmv 0.54 1.31 1.64 1.56
520 ppmv 0.54 1.33 1.78 1.99
670 ppmv 0.54 1.33 1.94 2.72
970 ppmv 0.54 1.34 2.08 3.63
1390 ppmv 0.54 1.35 2.18 4.38

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